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TI #041: The Champions League Table Is Not as Objective as It Looks
substack.com - Alex Marin Felices
The new Champions League league phase looks wonderfully simple.
Thirty-six teams. Eight matches each. Three points for a win. Put everyone into one table and rank them.
But there is one fairly important difference between this table and a normal domestic league table: the teams have not played the same opponents.
That changes what those points actually mean.
The paper behind this week’s Timeless Insights examines the first season of UEFA’s new format and asks whether the official standings are robust if we account for the difficulty of each team’s schedule. Its conclusion is uncomfortable for such a high-stakes competition: reasonable ranking methods can produce meaningfully different qualification outcomes.