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đź“ť Sports Analytics
Theory of Soccer: Options have Value
substack.com - Tiotal Football
I think what we’ve basically learned from football is that the only sustainable way for a worse team to beat a better team is by using the value of options. Below is a diagram for an offensive football play. The shapes are offensive players and the letters are defensive players. The lines show the blocking assignments of the offensive players. The idea of any running play is the offensive line pushes the defensive players around and creates gaps for one of the two players in the backfield to run through. A worse offensive team who lines up “mano a mano” against a better defensive team will not be able to create these gaps and they will not move the ball upfield (this is what happens when say an any non Southeastern Conference team plays a Southeastern Conference team straight up any time in the last 20 years). But, the play below is special because it’s an option play. It’s a “zone read.”