Sports Analytics Weekly by kubeia.io - 31/2024
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🎲 Betting
Temple men’s basketball team played several games with unusual betting patterns
nytimes.com - Joe Vardon and Chris Vannini
The Temple men’s basketball team, which drew attention from betting regulators for unusual wagering activity ahead of its game on Thursday against Alabama-Birmingham, played at least three other games this season that also generated irregular betting patterns, according to an examination of the team’s season by The Athletic.
📝 Sports Analytics
Show HN: A football/soccer pass visualizer made with Three.js | Hacker News
ycombinator.com
I've been working on a football pass visualiser for the past week.It uses open data from StatsBomb to analyse and visualise passing patterns, allowing users to explore and filter the data by pass distance, team and players.
🕰️ Blast From the Past
Probably Overthinking It: There is still only one test
blogspot.com - Allen Downey
In 2011 I wrote an article called "There is Only One Test", where I explained that all hypothesis tests are based on the same framework
Expectation and Optimal f : Expected Growth with and without Reinvestment for Discretely-Distributed Outcomes of Finite Length
ssrn.com - Ralph Vince
Presented is the formulation for determining the exact, expected growth-optimal fraction of equity to risk for all conditions, rather than merely the asymptotic growth-optimal fraction. The formulation presented represents the surface in the leverage space manifold, wherein the loci at the peak of the surface are those fractions for maximizing expected growth. Other criteria can be solved for upon the surface in the leverage space manifold utilizing the equation specified here. Of equal importance, since solving for the expected growth-optimal fraction involves a set of inputs and the "expectation" of those inputs, we see that the notion of mathematical expectation, as ubiquitously employed in numerous disciplines is also an asymptotic proxy for what an individual participant "expects" shall occur over a finite sequence of propositions. Thus, we determine what this expectation is over a finite sequence, demonstrate that it approaches the classical expectation as the length of the sequence becomes ever-longer, and see how this determination of "actual" expectation, versus the asymptotic "classical" one, is innately part of the human decision-making process.