Sports Analytics Weekly by kubeia.io - 34/2023
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š² Betting
Gambler | Book by Billy Walters
simonandschuster.com
Anybody can get lucky. Nobody controls the odds like Billy Walters. Widely regarded as āthe Michael Jordan of sports betting,ā Walters is a living legend in Las Vegas and among sports bettors worldwide. With an unmatched winning streak of thirty-six consecutive years, Walters has become fabulously wealthy by placing hundreds of millions of dollars a year in gross wagers, including one Super Bowl bet of $3.5 million alone. Competitors desperate to crack his betting techniques have tried hacking his phones, cloning his beepers, rifling through his trash, and bribing his employees. Now, after decades of avoiding the spotlight and fiercely protecting the keys to his success, Walters has reached the age where he wants to pass along his wisdom to future generations of sports wagerers.Gambler is more than a traditional autobiography. In addition to sharing his against-all-odds American dream story, Walters reveals in granular detail the secrets of his proprietary betting system, which will serve as a master class for anyone who wants to improve their odds at betting on sports. Walters also breaks his silence about his long and complicated relationship with Hall of Fame professional golfer Phil Mickelson.
Hackers Rig Casino Card-Shuffling Machines for āFull Controlā Cheating
wired.com - Andy Greenberg
Security researchers accessed an internal camera inside the Deckmate 2 shuffler to learn the exact deck orderāand the hand of every player at a poker table.
š° Quantitative Finance
Book Review "Developing High-Frequency Trading Systems" by Sebastien Donadio et al
substack.com - Henrique Bucher
TLDR; good book, shall keep
A Case Study in Finding Edge
robotwealth.com - Kris Longmore
In 2021, James, I, and a small team decided to set up a crypto trading venture.We faced several problems, but knowing almost nothing about crypto was the most significant.
Portfolio Selection via Topological Data Analysis
arxiv.org - Petr Sokerin, Kristian Kuznetsov, Elizaveta Makhneva, Alexey Zaytsev
Portfolio management is an essential part of investment decision-making. However, traditional methods often fail to deliver reasonable performance. This problem stems from the inability of these methods to account for the unique characteristics of multivariate time series data from stock markets. We present a two-stage method for constructing an investment portfolio of common stocks. The method involves the generation of time series representations followed by their subsequent clustering. Our approach utilizes features based on Topological Data Analysis (TDA) for the generation of representations, allowing us to elucidate the topological structure within the data. Experimental results show that our proposed system outperforms other methods. This superior performance is consistent over different time frames, suggesting the viability of TDA as a powerful tool for portfolio selection.
š¤ Machine Learning
Mathematical Tricks for Taming the Middle Distance
quantamagazine.org - Leila Sloman
So far this year, Quanta has chronicled three major advances in Ramsey theory, the study of how to avoid creating mathematical patterns. The first result put a new cap on how big a set of integers can be without containing three evenly spaced numbers, like {2, 4, 6} or {21, 31, 41}. The second and third similarly put new bounds on the size of networks without clusters of points that are either all connected, or all isolated from each other.The proofs address what happens as the numbers involved grow infinitely large. Paradoxically, this can sometimes be easier than dealing with pesky real-world quantities.
šļø Podcast
The 5 Stages Of Profitable Betting (Part 1)
spotify.com
In this weekās podcast, instead of interviewing a ātraditionalā guest, I had the pleasure of being joined by two of my colleagues at The SBC, Rowan and Josh.All three of us bet extensively and with the launch of our new 5 Stages of Betting resource, we thought that discussing our own betting journeys (and what we have learnt along the way) would be helpful for our listeners.Different starting points, varying schedules to work around and risk appetite are all factors to consider and we discuss the realities of what any bettor has to think about when choosing a sport to bet on or a tipster to follow.We talk about the ādos and dont'sā for betting beginners, how to adapt as bookmaker account restrictions bite and why diversifying is so essential.