Leaderboard

Best performing user generated models

#	Competition	Market	User	Algorithm	ROI	RPS	Log Loss	Predictions (possible)
1	MLS	1X2		Decision Trees	10.26%	0.223	1.052	262 (262)
2	Brasileirão Serie A	1X2	Quant Wizard	TabPFN	8.58%	0.198	0.947	57 (57)
3	Primeira Liga	1X2	Quant Wizard	XGBoost	6.91%	0.180	0.911	843 (843)
4	Serie A	1X2		Logistic regression	6.89%	0.189	0.979	535 (535)
5	Ligue 1	1X2		Decision Trees	6.65%	0.213	1.025	426 (426)
6	Primeira Liga	1X2	Quant Wizard	XGBoost	6.49%	0.180	0.909	843 (843)
7	Liga	1X2	John W	XGBoost	6.44%	0.195	0.977	677 (677)
8	Liga	1X2	Quant Wizard	XGBoost	6.36%	0.194	0.978	1011 (1011)
9	MLS	1X2	Quant Wizard	XGBoost	5.44%	0.233	1.095	320 (640)
10	Primeira Liga	1X2	Quant Wizard	XGBoost	5.30%	0.180	0.911	825 (825)
11	Liga	1X2	Quant Wizard	CatBoost	4.37%	0.191	0.959	483 (483)
12	Ligue 1	1X2	singinanarchist	Decision Trees	4.26%	0.216	1.034	571 (571)
13	MLS	1X2	Quant Wizard	XGBoost	3.95%	0.232	1.091	312 (640)
14	MLS	1X2	Quant Wizard	Naive Bayes	3.93%	0.328	1.960	1207 (1207)
15	Primeira Liga	1X2	Quant Wizard	XGBoost	3.69%	0.188	0.955	539 (539)
16	Primeira Liga	1X2	Quant Wizard	XGBoost	3.62%	0.185	0.953	262 (262)
17	Liga	1X2	Quant Wizard	CatBoost	3.61%	0.188	0.948	485 (485)
18	Serie A	1X2	Quant Wizard	XGBoost	3.43%	0.207	1.061	388 (657)
19	Liga	1X2	Quant Wizard	CatBoost	3.09%	0.190	0.956	483 (483)
20	Serie A	1X2		Naive Bayes	2.92%	0.285	6.596	629 (630)
21	Premier League	1X2		Naive Bayes	2.27%	0.208	1.002	291 (291)
22	Brasileirão Serie A	1X2	Quant Wizard	CatBoost	2.03%	0.200	0.996	502 (502)
23	Brasileirão Serie A	1X2	Quant Wizard	CatBoost	1.92%	0.199	0.994	504 (504)
24	Primeira Liga	1X2	Quant Wizard	CatBoost	1.87%	0.181	0.925	620 (620)
25	Brasileirão Serie A	1X2	Quant Wizard	CatBoost	1.84%	0.204	1.005	628 (628)

Only true predictions made before a future game are included (no back test). The models are sorted by ROI using Pinnacle™ odds at the time of prediction. To qualify for the leaderboard, a model should have at least 50 predictions.

Better ROI than betting on the favorite using Pinnacle™ closing odds.

Better ROI than betting on a home team win.

Worse ROI than both baselines.