Leaderboard

Best performing user generated models

#	Competition	Market	User	Algorithm	ROI	RPS	Log Loss	Predictions (possible)
1	MLS	1X2	Quant Wizard	XGBoost	19.49%	0.232	1.081	86 (192)
2	Ligue 1	1X2		Decision Trees	16.51%	0.202	0.992	258 (258)
3	MLS	1X2	Quant Wizard	XGBoost	16.30%	0.232	1.098	82 (192)
4	Ligue 1	1X2		Naive Bayes	14.80%	0.194	0.924	70 (70)
5	Primeira Liga	1X2	Quant Wizard	XGBoost	12.41%	0.189	0.992	99 (99)
6	Ligue 1	1X2		Naive Bayes	10.15%	0.552	4.558	152 (152)
7	Ligue 1	1X2	singinanarchist	Decision Trees	10.00%	0.209	1.013	403 (403)
8	Ligue 1	1X2	John W	CatBoost	9.11%	0.209	0.997	206 (376)
9	Primeira Liga	1X2	Quant Wizard	XGBoost	8.99%	0.180	0.907	680 (680)
10	Liga	1X2	John W	XGBoost	8.96%	0.195	0.980	467 (467)
11	Primeira Liga	1X2	Quant Wizard	XGBoost	8.32%	0.179	0.906	680 (680)
12	Primeira Liga	1X2	Quant Wizard	XGBoost	6.75%	0.180	0.908	662 (662)
13	Primeira Liga	1X2	Quant Wizard	XGBoost	5.08%	0.190	0.967	376 (376)
14	Primeira Liga	1X2	Quant Wizard	XGBoost	5.04%	0.194	0.974	87 (87)
15	Serie A	1X2		Logistic regression	4.46%	0.190	0.984	346 (346)
16	Primeira Liga	1X2	Quant Wizard	XGBoost	4.40%	0.226	1.126	87 (187)
17	Ligue 1	1X2	Quant Wizard	CatBoost	4.02%	0.196	0.960	196 (196)
18	MLS	1X2	Quant Wizard	Naive Bayes	3.98%	0.325	1.957	759 (759)
19	Ligue 1	1X2	Quant Wizard	Naive Bayes	3.65%	0.471	2.624	776 (776)
20	Liga	1X2	Quant Wizard	XGBoost	3.62%	0.195	0.984	801 (801)
21	Liga	1X2	Quant Wizard	CatBoost	3.52%	0.191	0.971	276 (276)
22	Serie A	1X2	Quant Wizard	CatBoost	3.44%	0.179	0.939	329 (566)
23	Premier League	1X2	Quant Wizard	CatBoost	3.15%	0.207	0.985	154 (288)
24	Ligue 1	1X2	Quant Wizard	CatBoost	2.96%	0.204	0.979	70 (151)
25	Primeira Liga	1X2	Quant Wizard	CatBoost	2.89%	0.181	0.929	457 (457)

Only true predictions made before a future game are included (no back test). The models are sorted by ROI using Pinnacle™ odds at the time of prediction. To qualify for the leaderboard, a model should have at least 50 predictions.

Better ROI than betting on the favorite using Pinnacle™ closing odds.

Better ROI than betting on a home team win.

Worse ROI than both baselines.