Leaderboard

Best performing user generated models

#         Competition Market User Algorithm ROI RPS Log Loss Predictions (possible)
1 Primeira Liga 1X2 Quant Wizard XGBoost 26.48% 0.190 0.926 63 (63)
2 Ligue 1 1X2 Decision Trees 22.12% 0.202 0.996 143 (143)
3 Primeira Liga 1X2 Quant Wizard XGBoost 20.16% 0.185 0.900 108 (108)
4 Primeira Liga 1X2 Quant Wizard XGBoost 12.93% 0.177 0.887 556 (556)
5 Primeira Liga 1X2 Quant Wizard XGBoost 11.60% 0.177 0.884 556 (556)
6 Ligue 1 1X2 John W CatBoost 11.41% 0.203 0.985 143 (261)
7 Ligue 1 1X2 singinanarchist Decision Trees 10.87% 0.212 1.022 288 (288)
8 Primeira Liga 1X2 Quant Wizard XGBoost 10.36% 0.186 0.940 252 (252)
9 Primeira Liga 1X2 Quant Wizard CatBoost 9.88% 0.169 0.855 108 (108)
10 Liga 1X2 Quant Wizard CatBoost 9.75% 0.192 0.962 149 (149)
11 Liga 1X2 Quant Wizard CatBoost 9.67% 0.191 0.959 149 (149)
12 Primeira Liga 1X2 Quant Wizard CatBoost 9.50% 0.165 0.841 108 (108)
13 MLS 1X2 Quant Wizard XGBoost 9.47% 0.243 1.087 51 (132)
14 Liga 1X2 Quant Wizard CatBoost 9.34% 0.188 0.949 149 (149)
15 Primeira Liga 1X2 Quant Wizard XGBoost 9.12% 0.178 0.886 538 (538)
16 Primeira Liga 1X2 Quant Wizard CatBoost 9.10% 0.169 0.855 108 (108)
17 Primeira Liga 1X2 Quant Wizard XGBoost 8.29% 0.198 0.953 108 (108)
18 Ligue 1 1X2 Quant Wizard CatBoost 7.92% 0.199 0.976 81 (81)
19 Primeira Liga 1X2 Quant Wizard XGBoost 7.85% 0.224 1.092 59 (108)
20 Serie A 1X2 Logistic regression 7.66% 0.191 0.993 197 (197)
21 Primeira Liga 1X2 Quant Wizard CatBoost 7.21% 0.177 0.902 333 (333)
22 Primeira Liga 1X2 Quant Wizard CatBoost 6.97% 0.169 0.857 108 (108)
23 Premier League 1X2 Quant Wizard CatBoost 6.88% 0.212 1.018 73 (140)
24 Liga 1X2 John W XGBoost 6.71% 0.193 0.972 340 (340)
25 Primeira Liga 1X2 Quant Wizard XGBoost 6.56% 0.203 0.960 108 (108)

Only true predictions made before a future game are included (no back test). The models are sorted by ROI using Pinnacle™ odds at the time of prediction. To qualify for the leaderboard, a model should have at least 50 predictions.

  Better ROI than betting on the favorite using Pinnacle™ closing odds.

  Better ROI than betting on a home team win.

  Worse ROI than both baselines.

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