Leaderboard

Best performing user generated models

#	Competition	Market	User	Algorithm	ROI	RPS	Log Loss	Predictions (possible)
1	Brasileirão Serie A	1X2	Quant Wizard	TabPFN	9.55%	0.190	0.958	403 (403)
2	MLS	1X2	Quant Wizard	XGBoost	9.48%	0.228	1.090	556 (1143)
3	MLS	1X2	Quant Wizard	XGBoost	6.85%	0.229	1.091	557 (1143)
4	Liga	1X2	Quant Wizard	XGBoost	6.70%	0.197	0.984	1388 (1388)
5	Serie A	1X2	Quant Wizard	TabPFN	6.68%	0.194	0.948	383 (383)
6	Serie A	1X2		Logistic regression	5.06%	0.193	0.980	902 (902)
7	Ligue 1	1X2	John W	CatBoost	5.03%	0.215	1.006	440 (814)
8	Liga	1X2	John W	XGBoost	4.91%	0.199	0.987	1034 (1034)
9	Serie A	1X2	Quant Wizard	CatBoost	4.86%	0.187	0.946	655 (1122)
10	Serie A	1X2		Decision Trees	4.69%	0.207	1.011	199 (199)
11	MLS	1X2	Quant Wizard	TabPFN	4.54%	0.200	0.978	246 (508)
12	Liga	1X2	Quant Wizard	TabICL	4.38%	0.187	0.926	343 (343)
13	Brasileirão Serie A	1X2	Quant Wizard	CatBoost	4.26%	0.195	0.983	886 (886)
14	Liga	1X2		Random forest	4.17%	0.195	0.954	484 (484)
15	Liga	1X2	Quant Wizard	CatBoost	4.14%	0.193	0.960	858 (858)
16	Liga	1X2	Quant Wizard	CatBoost	3.91%	0.190	0.950	860 (860)
17	Liga	1X2	Quant Wizard	CatBoost	3.42%	0.193	0.958	858 (858)
18	Serie A	1X2		Logistic regression	3.29%	0.197	0.961	181 (181)
19	Ligue 1	1X2	John W	CatBoost	3.21%	0.207	0.985	814 (814)
20	Brasileirão Serie A	1X2	Quant Wizard	CatBoost	3.15%	0.200	0.994	1010 (1010)
21	Brasileirão Serie A	1X2	Quant Wizard	CatBoost	2.97%	0.197	0.987	870 (870)
22	Liga	1X2	Quant Wizard	TabPFN	2.83%	0.191	0.943	376 (376)
23	Ligue 1	1X2	singinanarchist	Decision Trees	2.71%	0.216	1.033	841 (841)
24	Serie A	1X2		Naive Bayes	2.65%	0.285	6.569	996 (997)
25	Premier League	1X2		Naive Bayes	2.27%	0.208	1.002	291 (291)

Only true predictions made before a future game are included (no back test). The models are sorted by ROI using Pinnacle™ odds at the time of prediction. To qualify for the leaderboard, a model should have at least 150 predictions.

Better ROI than betting on the favorite using Pinnacle™ closing odds.

Better ROI than betting on a home team win.

Worse ROI than both baselines.