Leaderboard

Best performing user generated models

#	Competition	Market	User	Algorithm	ROI	RPS	Log Loss	Predictions (possible)
1	Liga	1X2	Quant Wizard	TabICL	6.82%	0.190	0.937	247 (247)
2	MLS	1X2	Quant Wizard	XGBoost	5.25%	0.233	1.098	456 (948)
3	Liga	1X2	John W	XGBoost	5.20%	0.200	0.992	938 (938)
4	Liga	1X2	Quant Wizard	XGBoost	5.16%	0.198	0.987	1289 (1289)
5	Liga	1X2	Quant Wizard	TabPFN	4.94%	0.194	0.951	280 (280)
6	Brasileirão Serie A	1X2	Quant Wizard	TabPFN	4.86%	0.197	0.985	302 (302)
7	Serie A	1X2		Logistic regression	4.84%	0.192	0.981	805 (805)
8	Ligue 1	1X2	John W	CatBoost	4.61%	0.216	1.008	396 (734)
9	Liga	1X2	Quant Wizard	CatBoost	4.61%	0.194	0.962	761 (761)
10	Liga	1X2	Quant Wizard	CatBoost	4.39%	0.191	0.954	763 (763)
11	Ligue 1	1X2	singinanarchist	Decision Trees	4.33%	0.215	1.033	761 (761)
12	Ligue 1	1X2		Decision Trees	3.91%	0.212	1.022	616 (616)
13	Liga	1X2	Quant Wizard	CatBoost	3.79%	0.193	0.961	761 (761)
14	MLS	1X2	Quant Wizard	XGBoost	3.31%	0.233	1.097	458 (948)
15	Liga	1X2		Random forest	3.28%	0.196	0.962	387 (387)
16	MLS	1X2	Quant Wizard	TabPFN	2.81%	0.210	0.993	155 (313)
17	Serie A	1X2	Quant Wizard	CatBoost	2.79%	0.189	0.954	597 (1025)
18	Premier League	1X2		Naive Bayes	2.27%	0.208	1.002	291 (291)
19	Primeira Liga	1X2	Quant Wizard	XGBoost	2.17%	0.180	0.916	1073 (1073)
20	Liga	1X2	Quant Wizard	TabPFN	2.01%	0.193	0.956	262 (262)
21	Serie A	1X2		Naive Bayes	1.98%	0.286	6.630	899 (900)
22	Liga	1X2	Quant Wizard	CatBoost	1.91%	0.191	0.958	1033 (1033)
23	Brasileirão Serie A	1X2	Quant Wizard	CatBoost	1.88%	0.198	0.995	782 (782)
24	Brasileirão Serie A	1X2	Quant Wizard	CatBoost	1.56%	0.200	0.999	778 (778)
25	Brasileirão Serie A	1X2	Quant Wizard	CatBoost	1.46%	0.203	1.005	906 (906)

Only true predictions made before a future game are included (no back test). The models are sorted by ROI using Pinnacle™ odds at the time of prediction. To qualify for the leaderboard, a model should have at least 150 predictions.

Better ROI than betting on the favorite using Pinnacle™ closing odds.

Better ROI than betting on a home team win.

Worse ROI than both baselines.