Leaderboard

Best performing user generated models

#	Competition	Market	User	Algorithm	ROI	RPS	Log Loss	Predictions (possible)
1	MLS	1X2	Quant Wizard	XGBoost	7.76%	0.230	1.095	535 (1084)
2	Brasileirão Serie A	1X2	Quant Wizard	TabPFN	7.56%	0.194	0.973	373 (373)
3	Liga	1X2	Quant Wizard	XGBoost	6.24%	0.197	0.985	1358 (1358)
4	MLS	1X2	Quant Wizard	XGBoost	6.02%	0.230	1.096	536 (1084)
5	Liga	1X2	John W	XGBoost	5.64%	0.199	0.988	1004 (1004)
6	Ligue 1	1X2	John W	CatBoost	5.17%	0.215	1.003	424 (787)
7	Liga	1X2		Random forest	4.62%	0.195	0.958	454 (454)
8	Liga	1X2	Quant Wizard	TabICL	4.45%	0.187	0.929	313 (313)
9	Liga	1X2	Quant Wizard	CatBoost	4.16%	0.193	0.961	828 (828)
10	Serie A	1X2		Logistic regression	4.12%	0.194	0.985	864 (864)
11	Liga	1X2	Quant Wizard	CatBoost	3.92%	0.190	0.952	830 (830)
12	Ligue 1	1X2	singinanarchist	Decision Trees	3.77%	0.216	1.034	814 (814)
13	Brasileirão Serie A	1X2	Quant Wizard	CatBoost	3.51%	0.196	0.989	856 (856)
14	Serie A	1X2	Quant Wizard	TabPFN	3.43%	0.198	0.966	345 (345)
15	Liga	1X2	Quant Wizard	CatBoost	3.41%	0.192	0.959	828 (828)
16	Serie A	1X2	Quant Wizard	CatBoost	3.37%	0.190	0.956	634 (1084)
17	Ligue 1	1X2		Decision Trees	2.78%	0.212	1.024	669 (669)
18	Liga	1X2	Quant Wizard	TabPFN	2.76%	0.191	0.946	346 (346)
19	Brasileirão Serie A	1X2	Quant Wizard	CatBoost	2.73%	0.201	0.999	980 (980)
20	Brasileirão Serie A	1X2	Quant Wizard	CatBoost	2.61%	0.199	0.993	845 (845)
21	Premier League	1X2		Naive Bayes	2.27%	0.208	1.002	291 (291)
22	Ligue 1	1X2	John W	CatBoost	2.10%	0.208	0.987	787 (787)
23	Serie A	1X2		Naive Bayes	2.06%	0.287	6.633	958 (959)
24	Primeira Liga	1X2	Quant Wizard	XGBoost	2.00%	0.181	0.918	1122 (1122)
25	Liga	1X2	Quant Wizard	CatBoost	1.89%	0.190	0.956	1102 (1102)

Only true predictions made before a future game are included (no back test). The models are sorted by ROI using Pinnacle™ odds at the time of prediction. To qualify for the leaderboard, a model should have at least 150 predictions.

Better ROI than betting on the favorite using Pinnacle™ closing odds.

Better ROI than betting on a home team win.

Worse ROI than both baselines.