Leaderboard

Best performing user generated models

#	Competition	Market	User	Algorithm	ROI	RPS	Log Loss	Predictions (possible)
1	Ligue 1	1X2		Naive Bayes	12.65%	0.566	4.570	215 (215)
2	Liga	1X2	John W	XGBoost	10.72%	0.194	0.973	568 (568)
3	Primeira Liga	1X2	Quant Wizard	XGBoost	10.50%	0.187	0.963	172 (172)
4	Serie A	1X2		Logistic regression	8.76%	0.189	0.976	435 (435)
5	Primeira Liga	1X2	Quant Wizard	XGBoost	8.58%	0.180	0.908	753 (753)
6	Primeira Liga	1X2	Quant Wizard	XGBoost	7.92%	0.180	0.907	753 (753)
7	Ligue 1	1X2		Decision Trees	7.69%	0.213	1.023	328 (328)
8	Primeira Liga	1X2	Quant Wizard	XGBoost	7.11%	0.180	0.909	735 (735)
9	Ligue 1	1X2	John W	CatBoost	5.61%	0.216	1.013	241 (446)
10	Serie A	1X2		Logistic regression	5.45%	0.198	0.999	92 (92)
11	Ligue 1	1X2	singinanarchist	Decision Trees	5.38%	0.216	1.032	473 (473)
12	Liga	1X2	Quant Wizard	CatBoost	5.26%	0.192	0.962	376 (376)
13	Ligue 1	1X2	Quant Wizard	Naive Bayes	4.73%	0.479	2.643	846 (846)
14	Liga	1X2	Quant Wizard	XGBoost	4.53%	0.194	0.977	902 (902)
15	Primeira Liga	1X2	Quant Wizard	XGBoost	4.19%	0.189	0.958	449 (449)
16	Liga	1X2	Quant Wizard	CatBoost	4.07%	0.188	0.950	376 (376)
17	Liga	1X2	Quant Wizard	CatBoost	3.62%	0.191	0.960	376 (376)
18	MLS	1X2	Quant Wizard	XGBoost	3.47%	0.233	1.100	203 (419)
19	MLS	1X2	Quant Wizard	XGBoost	3.42%	0.232	1.092	204 (419)
20	MLS	1X2	Quant Wizard	Naive Bayes	3.41%	0.329	1.972	986 (986)
21	Serie A	1X2	Quant Wizard	CatBoost	3.24%	0.182	0.946	373 (655)
22	Brasileirão Serie A	1X2	Quant Wizard	CatBoost	2.78%	0.199	1.003	316 (316)
23	Primeira Liga	1X2	Quant Wizard	XGBoost	2.61%	0.190	0.951	305 (305)
24	Primeira Liga	1X2	Quant Wizard	XGBoost	2.49%	0.194	0.972	260 (260)
25	Primeira Liga	1X2	Quant Wizard	XGBoost	2.30%	0.190	0.947	160 (160)

Only true predictions made before a future game are included (no back test). The models are sorted by ROI using Pinnacle™ odds at the time of prediction. To qualify for the leaderboard, a model should have at least 50 predictions.

Better ROI than betting on the favorite using Pinnacle™ closing odds.

Better ROI than betting on a home team win.

Worse ROI than both baselines.