Leaderboard

Best performing user generated models

#	Competition	Market	User	Algorithm	ROI	RPS	Log Loss	Predictions (possible)
1	Brasileirão Serie A	1X2	Quant Wizard	TabPFN	15.47%	0.191	0.940	110 (110)
2	Liga	1X2	Quant Wizard	TabPFN	10.77%	0.187	0.929	111 (111)
3	MLS	1X2		Decision Trees	10.26%	0.223	1.052	262 (262)
4	Liga	1X2	Quant Wizard	TabICL	10.00%	0.175	0.899	81 (81)
5	Liga	1X2	Quant Wizard	TabPFN	8.64%	0.186	0.939	99 (99)
6	Serie A	1X2		Logistic regression	7.17%	0.189	0.975	636 (636)
7	Liga	1X2	Quant Wizard	XGBoost	5.95%	0.194	0.978	1091 (1091)
8	Ligue 1	1X2		Decision Trees	5.88%	0.214	1.024	481 (481)
9	Liga	1X2		Random forest	5.72%	0.191	0.954	189 (189)
10	MLS	1X2	Quant Wizard	XGBoost	5.44%	0.233	1.095	320 (640)
11	Primeira Liga	1X2	Quant Wizard	XGBoost	5.32%	0.179	0.908	907 (907)
12	Liga	1X2	John W	XGBoost	4.74%	0.195	0.978	757 (757)
13	Primeira Liga	1X2	Quant Wizard	TabPFN	4.54%	0.160	0.858	85 (85)
14	Primeira Liga	1X2	Quant Wizard	XGBoost	4.47%	0.179	0.906	907 (907)
15	Brasileirão Serie A	1X2	Quant Wizard	CatBoost	4.21%	0.197	0.987	567 (567)
16	Primeira Liga	1X2	Quant Wizard	XGBoost	4.08%	0.186	0.947	603 (603)
17	Liga	1X2	Quant Wizard	CatBoost	4.03%	0.192	0.960	563 (563)
18	MLS	1X2	Quant Wizard	XGBoost	3.95%	0.232	1.091	312 (640)
19	MLS	1X2	Quant Wizard	Naive Bayes	3.93%	0.328	1.960	1207 (1207)
20	Brasileirão Serie A	1X2	Quant Wizard	CatBoost	3.84%	0.199	0.989	564 (564)
21	Serie A	1X2	Quant Wizard	XGBoost	3.56%	0.208	1.059	443 (758)
22	Primeira Liga	1X2	Quant Wizard	XGBoost	3.54%	0.179	0.907	889 (889)
23	Liga	1X2	Quant Wizard	CatBoost	3.34%	0.189	0.950	565 (565)
24	Serie A	1X2		Naive Bayes	2.98%	0.282	6.483	730 (731)
25	Liga	1X2	Quant Wizard	CatBoost	2.93%	0.191	0.957	563 (563)

Only true predictions made before a future game are included (no back test). The models are sorted by ROI using Pinnacle™ odds at the time of prediction. To qualify for the leaderboard, a model should have at least 50 predictions.

Better ROI than betting on the favorite using Pinnacle™ closing odds.

Better ROI than betting on a home team win.

Worse ROI than both baselines.