Leaderboard

Best performing user generated models

#	Competition	Market	User	Algorithm	ROI	RPS	Log Loss	Predictions (possible)
1	Brasileirão Serie A	1X2	Quant Wizard	TabPFN	8.35%	0.197	0.971	264 (264)
2	Liga	1X2	Quant Wizard	TabICL	6.64%	0.191	0.936	229 (229)
3	Liga	1X2	Quant Wizard	TabPFN	5.30%	0.195	0.950	263 (263)
4	Liga	1X2	John W	XGBoost	4.99%	0.200	0.992	937 (937)
5	Liga	1X2	Quant Wizard	CatBoost	4.87%	0.194	0.963	743 (743)
6	Serie A	1X2		Logistic regression	4.84%	0.192	0.981	805 (805)
7	Liga	1X2	Quant Wizard	XGBoost	4.69%	0.198	0.987	1271 (1271)
8	Ligue 1	1X2	John W	CatBoost	4.61%	0.216	1.008	396 (734)
9	Ligue 1	1X2	singinanarchist	Decision Trees	4.33%	0.215	1.033	761 (761)
10	Liga	1X2	Quant Wizard	CatBoost	4.27%	0.191	0.954	745 (745)
11	Liga	1X2	Quant Wizard	CatBoost	4.03%	0.193	0.961	743 (743)
12	Ligue 1	1X2		Decision Trees	3.91%	0.212	1.022	616 (616)
13	Liga	1X2		Random forest	3.74%	0.197	0.963	369 (369)
14	MLS	1X2	Quant Wizard	XGBoost	3.63%	0.232	1.096	415 (858)
15	Brasileirão Serie A	1X2	Quant Wizard	CatBoost	3.10%	0.200	0.994	741 (741)
16	Brasileirão Serie A	1X2	Quant Wizard	CatBoost	2.97%	0.198	0.992	744 (744)
17	MLS	1X2		Decision Trees	2.82%	0.229	1.077	480 (480)
18	Serie A	1X2	Quant Wizard	CatBoost	2.79%	0.189	0.954	597 (1025)
19	Primeira Liga	1X2	Quant Wizard	XGBoost	2.74%	0.180	0.914	1050 (1050)
20	MLS	1X2	Quant Wizard	XGBoost	2.56%	0.233	1.097	414 (858)
21	Brasileirão Serie A	1X2	Quant Wizard	CatBoost	2.37%	0.203	1.002	868 (868)
22	Premier League	1X2		Naive Bayes	2.27%	0.208	1.002	291 (291)
23	Serie A	1X2		Naive Bayes	1.98%	0.286	6.630	899 (900)
24	Liga	1X2	Quant Wizard	CatBoost	1.78%	0.191	0.959	1015 (1015)
25	Liga	1X2	Quant Wizard	TabPFN	1.78%	0.194	0.956	246 (246)

Only true predictions made before a future game are included (no back test). The models are sorted by ROI using Pinnacle™ odds at the time of prediction. To qualify for the leaderboard, a model should have at least 150 predictions.

Better ROI than betting on the favorite using Pinnacle™ closing odds.

Better ROI than betting on a home team win.

Worse ROI than both baselines.