Leaderboard

Best performing user generated models

#	Competition	Market	User	Algorithm	ROI	RPS	Log Loss	Predictions (possible)
1	Liga	1X2	Quant Wizard	TabICL	7.28%	0.185	0.925	176 (176)
2	Liga	1X2	Quant Wizard	TabPFN	7.25%	0.191	0.942	209 (209)
3	Brasileirão Serie A	1X2	Quant Wizard	TabPFN	7.06%	0.196	0.968	200 (200)
4	Serie A	1X2	Quant Wizard	TabPFN	6.09%	0.190	0.942	234 (234)
5	Serie A	1X2		Logistic regression	5.56%	0.191	0.976	735 (735)
6	Liga	1X2	Quant Wizard	XGBoost	5.04%	0.196	0.981	1191 (1191)
7	Liga	1X2		Random forest	4.85%	0.194	0.955	289 (289)
8	Liga	1X2	John W	XGBoost	4.53%	0.197	0.984	857 (857)
9	Liga	1X2	Quant Wizard	CatBoost	4.49%	0.192	0.960	663 (663)
10	Ligue 1	1X2		Decision Trees	4.28%	0.211	1.020	564 (564)
11	Primeira Liga	1X2	Quant Wizard	XGBoost	4.23%	0.179	0.909	994 (994)
12	Primeira Liga	1X2	Quant Wizard	XGBoost	3.81%	0.179	0.907	994 (994)
13	Liga	1X2	Quant Wizard	CatBoost	3.56%	0.192	0.958	663 (663)
14	Ligue 1	1X2	singinanarchist	Decision Trees	3.53%	0.215	1.032	709 (709)
15	Liga	1X2	Quant Wizard	CatBoost	3.47%	0.190	0.951	665 (665)
16	Primeira Liga	1X2	Quant Wizard	XGBoost	3.35%	0.184	0.941	690 (690)
17	Serie A	1X2	Quant Wizard	CatBoost	3.33%	0.186	0.947	554 (955)
18	MLS	1X2		Decision Trees	3.27%	0.227	1.067	351 (351)
19	Ligue 1	1X2	John W	CatBoost	3.14%	0.216	1.008	369 (682)
20	Liga	1X2	Quant Wizard	TabPFN	3.11%	0.191	0.950	194 (194)
21	Brasileirão Serie A	1X2	Quant Wizard	CatBoost	3.06%	0.198	0.989	664 (664)
22	Primeira Liga	1X2	Quant Wizard	XGBoost	2.95%	0.179	0.908	976 (976)
23	Serie A	1X2		Naive Bayes	2.86%	0.283	6.488	829 (830)
24	Brasileirão Serie A	1X2	Quant Wizard	CatBoost	2.85%	0.199	0.991	661 (661)
25	Brasileirão Serie A	1X2	Quant Wizard	CatBoost	2.61%	0.203	1.000	788 (788)

Only true predictions made before a future game are included (no back test). The models are sorted by ROI using Pinnacle™ odds at the time of prediction. To qualify for the leaderboard, a model should have at least 150 predictions.

Better ROI than betting on the favorite using Pinnacle™ closing odds.

Better ROI than betting on a home team win.

Worse ROI than both baselines.