Leaderboard

Best performing user generated models

#	Competition	Market	User	Algorithm	ROI	RPS	Log Loss	Predictions (possible)
1	Brasileirão Serie A	1X2	Quant Wizard	TabPFN	10.70%	0.194	0.952	216 (216)
2	Liga	1X2	Quant Wizard	TabICL	7.94%	0.185	0.922	184 (184)
3	Liga	1X2	Quant Wizard	TabPFN	7.32%	0.191	0.941	218 (218)
4	Serie A	1X2		Logistic regression	6.13%	0.191	0.979	765 (765)
5	Ligue 1	1X2		Decision Trees	5.17%	0.209	1.016	589 (589)
6	Ligue 1	1X2	singinanarchist	Decision Trees	5.02%	0.214	1.029	734 (734)
7	Liga	1X2	Quant Wizard	CatBoost	4.97%	0.192	0.961	693 (693)
8	Liga	1X2	Quant Wizard	XGBoost	4.75%	0.197	0.984	1221 (1221)
9	Serie A	1X2	Quant Wizard	TabPFN	4.11%	0.192	0.954	251 (251)
10	Liga	1X2	Quant Wizard	CatBoost	4.07%	0.192	0.959	693 (693)
11	Liga	1X2	John W	XGBoost	4.00%	0.198	0.988	887 (887)
12	Liga	1X2	Quant Wizard	CatBoost	3.99%	0.190	0.952	695 (695)
13	Brasileirão Serie A	1X2	Quant Wizard	CatBoost	3.73%	0.198	0.988	691 (691)
14	Liga	1X2		Random forest	3.65%	0.194	0.959	319 (319)
15	Brasileirão Serie A	1X2	Quant Wizard	CatBoost	3.63%	0.197	0.986	694 (694)
16	Ligue 1	1X2	John W	CatBoost	3.50%	0.214	1.006	383 (707)
17	MLS	1X2	Quant Wizard	Naive Bayes	3.41%	0.330	1.990	1351 (1351)
18	Liga	1X2	Quant Wizard	TabPFN	3.36%	0.191	0.949	203 (203)
19	Primeira Liga	1X2	Quant Wizard	XGBoost	3.32%	0.179	0.910	1022 (1022)
20	Serie A	1X2		Naive Bayes	3.22%	0.283	6.510	859 (860)
21	Brasileirão Serie A	1X2	Quant Wizard	CatBoost	3.13%	0.202	0.997	818 (818)
22	Primeira Liga	1X2	Quant Wizard	XGBoost	2.90%	0.179	0.907	1022 (1022)
23	Serie A	1X2	Quant Wizard	CatBoost	2.83%	0.188	0.953	576 (985)
24	MLS	1X2	Quant Wizard	XGBoost	2.81%	0.234	1.094	377 (784)
25	Primeira Liga	1X2	Quant Wizard	XGBoost	2.72%	0.184	0.941	718 (718)

Only true predictions made before a future game are included (no back test). The models are sorted by ROI using Pinnacle™ odds at the time of prediction. To qualify for the leaderboard, a model should have at least 150 predictions.

Better ROI than betting on the favorite using Pinnacle™ closing odds.

Better ROI than betting on a home team win.

Worse ROI than both baselines.