Leaderboard

Best performing user generated models

#	Competition	Market	User	Algorithm	ROI	RPS	Log Loss	Predictions (possible)
1	Ligue 1	1X2		Decision Trees	18.63%	0.204	1.004	228 (228)
2	MLS	1X2	Quant Wizard	XGBoost	14.63%	0.240	1.087	55 (145)
3	Primeira Liga	1X2	Quant Wizard	XGBoost	11.36%	0.195	1.020	68 (68)
4	Primeira Liga	1X2	Quant Wizard	XGBoost	10.40%	0.180	0.906	649 (649)
5	Ligue 1	1X2	John W	CatBoost	10.16%	0.210	1.004	190 (346)
6	Primeira Liga	1X2	Quant Wizard	XGBoost	8.48%	0.180	0.905	649 (649)
7	Primeira Liga	1X2	Quant Wizard	XGBoost	8.31%	0.209	1.011	56 (56)
8	Ligue 1	1X2	singinanarchist	Decision Trees	7.90%	0.211	1.024	373 (373)
9	Primeira Liga	1X2	Quant Wizard	XGBoost	7.45%	0.222	1.128	75 (156)
10	Primeira Liga	1X2	Quant Wizard	XGBoost	6.28%	0.180	0.907	631 (631)
11	Primeira Liga	1X2	Quant Wizard	XGBoost	5.49%	0.191	0.971	345 (345)
12	Ligue 1	1X2		Naive Bayes	5.22%	0.566	4.726	121 (121)
13	Liga	1X2	John W	XGBoost	4.91%	0.196	0.986	436 (436)
14	Liga	1X2	Quant Wizard	CatBoost	4.69%	0.195	0.980	245 (245)
15	Serie A	1X2	Quant Wizard	CatBoost	4.47%	0.178	0.937	308 (531)
16	Serie A	1X2		Logistic regression	4.09%	0.188	0.979	311 (311)
17	MLS	1X2	Quant Wizard	Naive Bayes	3.46%	0.326	1.946	712 (712)
18	Liga	1X2	Quant Wizard	CatBoost	3.34%	0.194	0.977	245 (245)
19	Liga	1X2	Quant Wizard	XGBoost	3.14%	0.196	0.986	770 (770)
20	Primeira Liga	1X2	Quant Wizard	CatBoost	3.06%	0.181	0.931	426 (426)
21	Ligue 1	1X2	Quant Wizard	CatBoost	3.02%	0.198	0.976	166 (166)
22	Ligue 1	1X2	John W	CatBoost	2.90%	0.208	1.001	346 (346)
23	Ligue 1	1X2	Quant Wizard	Naive Bayes	2.88%	0.470	2.630	746 (746)
24	Primeira Liga	1X2	Quant Wizard	XGBoost	2.65%	0.202	1.008	156 (156)
25	Primeira Liga	1X2	Quant Wizard	CatBoost	2.48%	0.181	0.930	426 (426)

Only true predictions made before a future game are included (no back test). The models are sorted by ROI using Pinnacle™ odds at the time of prediction. To qualify for the leaderboard, a model should have at least 50 predictions.

Better ROI than betting on the favorite using Pinnacle™ closing odds.

Better ROI than betting on a home team win.

Worse ROI than both baselines.