Leaderboard

Best performing user generated models

#	Competition	Market	User	Algorithm	ROI	RPS	Log Loss	Predictions (possible)
1	MLS	1X2		Decision Trees	20.21%	0.220	1.034	145 (145)
2	Ligue 1	1X2		Naive Bayes	12.15%	0.565	4.558	225 (225)
3	Primeira Liga	1X2	Quant Wizard	XGBoost	11.19%	0.185	0.949	189 (189)
4	Liga	1X2	John W	XGBoost	10.31%	0.194	0.973	579 (579)
5	Primeira Liga	1X2	Quant Wizard	XGBoost	9.03%	0.180	0.906	770 (770)
6	Serie A	1X2		Logistic regression	8.76%	0.189	0.976	435 (435)
7	Primeira Liga	1X2	Quant Wizard	XGBoost	8.38%	0.179	0.905	770 (770)
8	Primeira Liga	1X2	Quant Wizard	XGBoost	7.61%	0.180	0.907	752 (752)
9	Ligue 1	1X2		Decision Trees	7.26%	0.213	1.023	338 (338)
10	MLS	1X2	Quant Wizard	XGBoost	6.29%	0.233	1.099	256 (523)
11	Serie A	1X2		Logistic regression	5.45%	0.198	0.999	92 (92)
12	Ligue 1	1X2	John W	CatBoost	4.97%	0.216	1.011	246 (456)
13	Liga	1X2	Quant Wizard	CatBoost	4.79%	0.192	0.961	387 (387)
14	Ligue 1	1X2	Quant Wizard	Naive Bayes	4.68%	0.479	2.641	856 (856)
15	Ligue 1	1X2	singinanarchist	Decision Trees	4.62%	0.216	1.031	483 (483)
16	Primeira Liga	1X2	Quant Wizard	XGBoost	4.54%	0.188	0.951	466 (466)
17	Liga	1X2	Quant Wizard	XGBoost	4.26%	0.194	0.977	913 (913)
18	MLS	1X2	Quant Wizard	Naive Bayes	4.14%	0.328	1.962	1090 (1090)
19	MLS	1X2	Quant Wizard	XGBoost	3.84%	0.231	1.090	255 (523)
20	Liga	1X2	Quant Wizard	CatBoost	3.64%	0.188	0.949	387 (387)
21	Primeira Liga	1X2	Quant Wizard	XGBoost	3.41%	0.186	0.925	177 (177)
22	Serie A	1X2	Quant Wizard	CatBoost	3.24%	0.182	0.946	373 (655)
23	Primeira Liga	1X2	Quant Wizard	XGBoost	3.21%	0.188	0.939	322 (322)
24	Liga	1X2	Quant Wizard	CatBoost	3.20%	0.191	0.959	387 (387)
25	Primeira Liga	1X2	Quant Wizard	XGBoost	3.18%	0.191	0.956	277 (277)

Only true predictions made before a future game are included (no back test). The models are sorted by ROI using Pinnacle™ odds at the time of prediction. To qualify for the leaderboard, a model should have at least 50 predictions.

Better ROI than betting on the favorite using Pinnacle™ closing odds.

Better ROI than betting on a home team win.

Worse ROI than both baselines.