Leaderboard

Best performing user generated models

#	Competition	Market	User	Algorithm	ROI	RPS	Log Loss	Predictions (possible)
1	Primeira Liga	1X2	Quant Wizard	XGBoost	9.60%	0.186	0.956	216 (216)
2	Primeira Liga	1X2	Quant Wizard	XGBoost	8.67%	0.180	0.910	797 (797)
3	Primeira Liga	1X2	Quant Wizard	XGBoost	8.10%	0.180	0.908	797 (797)
4	MLS	1X2		Decision Trees	8.10%	0.224	1.055	190 (190)
5	Liga	1X2	John W	XGBoost	8.07%	0.194	0.976	607 (607)
6	Ligue 1	1X2		Decision Trees	7.39%	0.213	1.017	364 (364)
7	Primeira Liga	1X2	Quant Wizard	XGBoost	6.87%	0.180	0.910	779 (779)
8	Serie A	1X2		Logistic regression	6.81%	0.190	0.981	463 (463)
9	Ligue 1	1X2	John W	CatBoost	6.22%	0.216	1.008	254 (482)
10	Liga	1X2	Quant Wizard	XGBoost	5.52%	0.194	0.977	941 (941)
11	MLS	1X2	Quant Wizard	XGBoost	5.11%	0.233	1.099	281 (568)
12	MLS	1X2	Quant Wizard	Naive Bayes	4.82%	0.328	1.961	1135 (1135)
13	Serie A	1X2		Logistic regression	4.54%	0.202	1.008	118 (118)
14	Ligue 1	1X2		Naive Bayes	4.54%	0.583	4.668	251 (251)
15	Ligue 1	1X2	singinanarchist	Decision Trees	4.32%	0.216	1.029	509 (509)
16	Primeira Liga	1X2	Quant Wizard	XGBoost	4.16%	0.189	0.957	493 (493)
17	Liga	1X2	Quant Wizard	CatBoost	3.95%	0.191	0.962	415 (415)
18	Primeira Liga	1X2	Quant Wizard	XGBoost	3.87%	0.221	1.107	137 (304)
19	MLS	1X2	Quant Wizard	XGBoost	3.67%	0.232	1.091	281 (568)
20	Ligue 1	1X2	John W	CatBoost	2.86%	0.208	0.980	482 (482)
21	Ligue 1	1X2	Quant Wizard	Naive Bayes	2.73%	0.487	2.665	882 (882)
22	Liga	1X2	Quant Wizard	CatBoost	2.47%	0.191	0.960	415 (415)
23	Liga	1X2	Quant Wizard	CatBoost	2.28%	0.188	0.951	415 (415)
24	Serie A	1X2	Quant Wizard	CatBoost	2.27%	0.183	0.948	394 (683)
25	Premier League	1X2		Naive Bayes	2.27%	0.208	1.002	291 (291)

Only true predictions made before a future game are included (no back test). The models are sorted by ROI using Pinnacle™ odds at the time of prediction. To qualify for the leaderboard, a model should have at least 50 predictions.

Better ROI than betting on the favorite using Pinnacle™ closing odds.

Better ROI than betting on a home team win.

Worse ROI than both baselines.