Leaderboard

Best performing user generated models

#	Competition	Market	User	Algorithm	ROI	RPS	Log Loss	Predictions (possible)
1	Ligue 1	1X2		Decision Trees	11.33%	0.209	1.012	292 (292)
2	Ligue 1	1X2		Naive Bayes	9.82%	0.562	4.554	188 (188)
3	Primeira Liga	1X2	Quant Wizard	XGBoost	9.68%	0.186	0.959	136 (136)
4	Liga	1X2	John W	XGBoost	8.55%	0.195	0.980	514 (514)
5	Serie A	1X2		Logistic regression	8.38%	0.188	0.978	386 (386)
6	Ligue 1	1X2		Naive Bayes	8.37%	0.211	1.282	104 (104)
7	Primeira Liga	1X2	Quant Wizard	XGBoost	8.33%	0.180	0.906	717 (717)
8	Ligue 1	1X2	singinanarchist	Decision Trees	7.64%	0.213	1.025	437 (437)
9	Primeira Liga	1X2	Quant Wizard	XGBoost	7.63%	0.179	0.904	717 (717)
10	Ligue 1	1X2	John W	CatBoost	7.62%	0.216	1.014	225 (410)
11	Primeira Liga	1X2	Quant Wizard	XGBoost	7.44%	0.187	0.929	124 (124)
12	Primeira Liga	1X2	Quant Wizard	XGBoost	6.40%	0.180	0.905	699 (699)
13	MLS	1X2	Quant Wizard	XGBoost	6.36%	0.232	1.090	123 (264)
14	Primeira Liga	1X2	Quant Wizard	XGBoost	5.74%	0.188	0.933	124 (124)
15	Primeira Liga	1X2	Quant Wizard	XGBoost	5.60%	0.193	0.968	224 (224)
16	Primeira Liga	1X2	Quant Wizard	XGBoost	5.22%	0.190	0.944	269 (269)
17	Primeira Liga	1X2	Quant Wizard	XGBoost	5.19%	0.189	0.956	413 (413)
18	Primeira Liga	1X2	Quant Wizard	XGBoost	4.47%	0.189	0.934	81 (124)
19	Ligue 1	1X2	Quant Wizard	Naive Bayes	4.16%	0.476	2.634	810 (810)
20	MLS	1X2	Quant Wizard	XGBoost	3.97%	0.235	1.105	119 (264)
21	MLS	1X2	Quant Wizard	Naive Bayes	3.72%	0.328	1.979	831 (831)
22	Serie A	1X2	Quant Wizard	CatBoost	3.49%	0.179	0.939	345 (606)
23	Primeira Liga	1X2	Quant Wizard	CatBoost	3.39%	0.179	0.918	494 (494)
24	Liga	1X2	Quant Wizard	XGBoost	3.26%	0.195	0.984	848 (848)
25	Primeira Liga	1X2	Quant Wizard	CatBoost	3.14%	0.180	0.923	494 (494)

Only true predictions made before a future game are included (no back test). The models are sorted by ROI using Pinnacle™ odds at the time of prediction. To qualify for the leaderboard, a model should have at least 50 predictions.

Better ROI than betting on the favorite using Pinnacle™ closing odds.

Better ROI than betting on a home team win.

Worse ROI than both baselines.