Leaderboard

Best performing user generated models

#	Competition	Market	User	Algorithm	ROI	RPS	Log Loss	Predictions (possible)
1	Brasileirão Serie A	1X2	Quant Wizard	TabPFN	15.47%	0.191	0.940	110 (110)
2	Liga	1X2	Quant Wizard	TabPFN	15.22%	0.182	0.920	92 (92)
3	Liga	1X2	Quant Wizard	TabICL	12.73%	0.172	0.893	64 (64)
4	Liga	1X2	Quant Wizard	TabPFN	12.14%	0.181	0.927	82 (82)
5	Liga	1X2		Random forest	10.48%	0.189	0.949	170 (170)
6	MLS	1X2		Decision Trees	10.26%	0.223	1.052	262 (262)
7	Liga	1X2	Quant Wizard	XGBoost	6.51%	0.194	0.976	1072 (1072)
8	Serie A	1X2		Logistic regression	5.84%	0.191	0.982	601 (601)
9	Primeira Liga	1X2	Quant Wizard	XGBoost	5.55%	0.179	0.909	895 (895)
10	MLS	1X2	Quant Wizard	XGBoost	5.44%	0.233	1.095	320 (640)
11	Liga	1X2	John W	XGBoost	5.25%	0.194	0.976	738 (738)
12	Primeira Liga	1X2	Quant Wizard	XGBoost	4.78%	0.179	0.907	895 (895)
13	Ligue 1	1X2		Decision Trees	4.36%	0.215	1.029	471 (471)
14	Brasileirão Serie A	1X2	Quant Wizard	CatBoost	4.21%	0.197	0.987	567 (567)
15	Liga	1X2	Quant Wizard	CatBoost	4.03%	0.191	0.959	544 (544)
16	MLS	1X2	Quant Wizard	XGBoost	3.95%	0.232	1.091	312 (640)
17	MLS	1X2	Quant Wizard	Naive Bayes	3.93%	0.328	1.960	1207 (1207)
18	Brasileirão Serie A	1X2	Quant Wizard	CatBoost	3.84%	0.199	0.989	564 (564)
19	Liga	1X2	Quant Wizard	CatBoost	3.83%	0.188	0.948	546 (546)
20	Primeira Liga	1X2	Quant Wizard	XGBoost	3.72%	0.186	0.950	591 (591)
21	Primeira Liga	1X2	Quant Wizard	XGBoost	3.57%	0.180	0.909	877 (877)
22	Ligue 1	1X2	singinanarchist	Decision Trees	3.07%	0.217	1.037	616 (616)
23	Serie A	1X2		Logistic regression	2.94%	0.202	1.010	256 (256)
24	Liga	1X2	Quant Wizard	CatBoost	2.90%	0.190	0.956	544 (544)
25	Brasileirão Serie A	1X2	Quant Wizard	CatBoost	2.49%	0.203	1.000	691 (691)

Only true predictions made before a future game are included (no back test). The models are sorted by ROI using Pinnacle™ odds at the time of prediction. To qualify for the leaderboard, a model should have at least 50 predictions.

Better ROI than betting on the favorite using Pinnacle™ closing odds.

Better ROI than betting on a home team win.

Worse ROI than both baselines.