Leaderboard

Best performing user generated models

#	Competition	Market	User	Algorithm	ROI	RPS	Log Loss	Predictions (possible)
1	MLS	1X2		Decision Trees	8.67%	0.223	1.049	247 (247)
2	Ligue 1	1X2		Decision Trees	8.06%	0.212	1.019	391 (391)
3	Liga	1X2	John W	XGBoost	7.18%	0.195	0.979	647 (647)
4	Primeira Liga	1X2	Quant Wizard	XGBoost	7.09%	0.181	0.914	825 (825)
5	MLS	1X2	Quant Wizard	XGBoost	6.89%	0.232	1.092	311 (625)
6	Primeira Liga	1X2	Quant Wizard	XGBoost	6.85%	0.180	0.912	825 (825)
7	Serie A	1X2		Logistic regression	6.44%	0.188	0.976	495 (495)
8	Ligue 1	1X2	singinanarchist	Decision Trees	5.93%	0.215	1.028	536 (536)
9	Primeira Liga	1X2	Quant Wizard	XGBoost	5.64%	0.181	0.914	807 (807)
10	Serie A	1X2		Logistic regression	5.41%	0.193	0.996	149 (149)
11	Liga	1X2	Quant Wizard	XGBoost	5.21%	0.194	0.979	981 (981)
12	Primeira Liga	1X2	Quant Wizard	XGBoost	5.20%	0.187	0.965	244 (244)
13	MLS	1X2	Quant Wizard	XGBoost	4.71%	0.232	1.089	305 (625)
14	MLS	1X2	Quant Wizard	Naive Bayes	4.49%	0.327	1.954	1192 (1192)
15	Ligue 1	1X2	John W	CatBoost	4.28%	0.217	1.014	268 (509)
16	Liga	1X2	Quant Wizard	CatBoost	3.87%	0.192	0.962	453 (453)
17	Primeira Liga	1X2	Quant Wizard	XGBoost	3.30%	0.189	0.961	521 (521)
18	Serie A	1X2		Naive Bayes	3.13%	0.283	6.517	589 (590)
19	Liga	1X2	Quant Wizard	CatBoost	2.52%	0.189	0.952	455 (455)
20	Liga	1X2	Quant Wizard	CatBoost	2.51%	0.191	0.960	453 (453)
21	Premier League	1X2		Naive Bayes	2.27%	0.208	1.002	291 (291)
22	Ligue 1	1X2		Random forest	1.82%	0.192	0.922	63 (63)
23	Ligue 1	1X2	John W	CatBoost	1.76%	0.208	0.983	509 (509)
24	Ligue 1	1X2	Quant Wizard	Naive Bayes	1.73%	0.488	2.686	909 (909)
25	Primeira Liga	1X2	Quant Wizard	CatBoost	1.70%	0.182	0.931	602 (602)

Only true predictions made before a future game are included (no back test). The models are sorted by ROI using Pinnacle™ odds at the time of prediction. To qualify for the leaderboard, a model should have at least 50 predictions.

Better ROI than betting on the favorite using Pinnacle™ closing odds.

Better ROI than betting on a home team win.

Worse ROI than both baselines.