Leaderboard

Best performing user generated models

#	Competition	Market	User	Algorithm	ROI	RPS	Log Loss	Predictions (possible)
1	Primeira Liga	1X2	Quant Wizard	XGBoost	21.58%	0.215	1.088	50 (108)
2	Ligue 1	1X2		Decision Trees	21.38%	0.204	0.995	181 (181)
3	Premier League	1X2	Quant Wizard	CatBoost	17.11%	0.209	1.020	107 (209)
4	Primeira Liga	1X2	Quant Wizard	XGBoost	11.39%	0.178	0.898	601 (601)
5	Ligue 1	1X2	singinanarchist	Decision Trees	11.05%	0.211	1.020	326 (326)
6	Primeira Liga	1X2	Quant Wizard	XGBoost	9.64%	0.178	0.896	601 (601)
7	MLS	1X2	Quant Wizard	XGBoost	9.47%	0.243	1.087	51 (132)
8	Primeira Liga	1X2	Quant Wizard	XGBoost	8.55%	0.199	1.007	108 (108)
9	Ligue 1	1X2	John W	CatBoost	8.35%	0.209	1.006	163 (299)
10	Primeira Liga	1X2	Quant Wizard	XGBoost	7.29%	0.179	0.898	583 (583)
11	Primeira Liga	1X2	Quant Wizard	XGBoost	7.12%	0.192	0.959	153 (153)
12	Liga	1X2	John W	XGBoost	6.90%	0.195	0.978	382 (382)
13	Liga	1X2	Quant Wizard	CatBoost	6.19%	0.195	0.975	191 (191)
14	Primeira Liga	1X2	Quant Wizard	XGBoost	6.17%	0.189	0.965	297 (297)
15	Liga	1X2	Quant Wizard	CatBoost	6.13%	0.194	0.972	191 (191)
16	Liga	1X2	Quant Wizard	CatBoost	5.88%	0.191	0.965	191 (191)
17	Serie A	1X2		Logistic regression	4.47%	0.190	0.990	258 (258)
18	Liga	1X2	Quant Wizard	XGBoost	3.79%	0.196	0.984	716 (716)
19	Primeira Liga	1X2	Quant Wizard	CatBoost	3.57%	0.179	0.925	378 (378)
20	Serie A	1X2	Quant Wizard	CatBoost	3.45%	0.179	0.941	277 (478)
21	Ligue 1	1X2	John W	CatBoost	3.44%	0.209	1.001	299 (299)
22	MLS	1X2	Quant Wizard	Naive Bayes	3.42%	0.326	1.947	699 (699)
23	Serie A	1X2	Quant Wizard	CatBoost	3.24%	0.185	0.979	105 (210)
24	Liga	1X2	Quant Wizard	CatBoost	3.06%	0.188	0.962	460 (460)
25	Primeira Liga	1X2	Quant Wizard	CatBoost	2.91%	0.179	0.924	378 (378)

Only true predictions made before a future game are included (no back test). The models are sorted by ROI using Pinnacle™ odds at the time of prediction. To qualify for the leaderboard, a model should have at least 50 predictions.

Better ROI than betting on the favorite using Pinnacle™ closing odds.

Better ROI than betting on a home team win.

Worse ROI than both baselines.