Leaderboard

Best performing user generated models

#	Competition	Market	User	Algorithm	ROI	RPS	Log Loss	Predictions (possible)
1	MLS	1X2	Quant Wizard	XGBoost	20.90%	0.230	1.081	100 (221)
2	MLS	1X2	Quant Wizard	XGBoost	19.48%	0.233	1.098	95 (221)
3	Ligue 1	1X2		Decision Trees	14.52%	0.205	1.002	267 (267)
4	Ligue 1	1X2		Naive Bayes	13.30%	0.199	0.925	79 (79)
5	Primeira Liga	1X2	Quant Wizard	XGBoost	12.17%	0.186	0.974	108 (108)
6	Primeira Liga	1X2	Quant Wizard	XGBoost	9.28%	0.186	0.941	96 (96)
7	Primeira Liga	1X2	Quant Wizard	XGBoost	9.00%	0.179	0.905	689 (689)
8	Ligue 1	1X2	John W	CatBoost	8.81%	0.211	0.998	212 (385)
9	Ligue 1	1X2	singinanarchist	Decision Trees	8.44%	0.211	1.020	412 (412)
10	Liga	1X2	John W	XGBoost	8.40%	0.194	0.977	478 (478)
11	Ligue 1	1X2		Naive Bayes	8.40%	0.558	4.571	161 (161)
12	Primeira Liga	1X2	Quant Wizard	XGBoost	8.27%	0.179	0.904	689 (689)
13	Primeira Liga	1X2	Quant Wizard	XGBoost	6.72%	0.180	0.906	671 (671)
14	Primeira Liga	1X2	Quant Wizard	XGBoost	6.34%	0.186	0.949	64 (96)
15	Primeira Liga	1X2	Quant Wizard	XGBoost	6.14%	0.188	0.960	385 (385)
16	Serie A	1X2		Logistic regression	4.71%	0.189	0.981	356 (356)
17	MLS	1X2	Quant Wizard	Naive Bayes	4.48%	0.327	1.968	788 (788)
18	Primeira Liga	1X2	Quant Wizard	XGBoost	4.28%	0.193	0.982	196 (196)
19	Serie A	1X2	Quant Wizard	CatBoost	4.12%	0.179	0.935	335 (576)
20	Primeira Liga	1X2	Quant Wizard	XGBoost	4.11%	0.189	0.950	241 (241)
21	Ligue 1	1X2	Quant Wizard	CatBoost	3.91%	0.198	0.959	205 (205)
22	Primeira Liga	1X2	Quant Wizard	CatBoost	3.80%	0.179	0.923	466 (466)
23	Primeira Liga	1X2	Quant Wizard	XGBoost	3.77%	0.186	0.943	96 (96)
24	Liga	1X2	Quant Wizard	XGBoost	3.62%	0.194	0.981	812 (812)
25	Primeira Liga	1X2	Quant Wizard	CatBoost	3.53%	0.178	0.919	466 (466)

Only true predictions made before a future game are included (no back test). The models are sorted by ROI using Pinnacle™ odds at the time of prediction. To qualify for the leaderboard, a model should have at least 50 predictions.

Better ROI than betting on the favorite using Pinnacle™ closing odds.

Better ROI than betting on a home team win.

Worse ROI than both baselines.