Leaderboard

Best performing user generated models

#	Competition	Market	User	Algorithm	ROI	RPS	Log Loss	Predictions (possible)
1	Brasileirão Serie A	1X2	Quant Wizard	TabPFN	8.14%	0.197	0.982	153 (153)
2	MLS	1X2		Decision Trees	6.69%	0.224	1.052	306 (306)
3	Liga	1X2	Quant Wizard	TabPFN	6.69%	0.189	0.944	181 (181)
4	Serie A	1X2		Logistic regression	6.44%	0.191	0.978	706 (706)
5	Liga	1X2	Quant Wizard	XGBoost	5.69%	0.195	0.979	1162 (1162)
6	Liga	1X2	John W	XGBoost	5.35%	0.196	0.981	828 (828)
7	Primeira Liga	1X2	Quant Wizard	XGBoost	4.85%	0.179	0.909	969 (969)
8	Liga	1X2		Random forest	4.46%	0.192	0.957	260 (260)
9	Ligue 1	1X2		Decision Trees	4.39%	0.212	1.022	540 (540)
10	Primeira Liga	1X2	Quant Wizard	XGBoost	4.14%	0.178	0.906	969 (969)
11	Ligue 1	1X2	John W	CatBoost	4.00%	0.216	1.008	353 (658)
12	Liga	1X2	Quant Wizard	CatBoost	3.92%	0.192	0.961	634 (634)
13	Brasileirão Serie A	1X2	Quant Wizard	CatBoost	3.77%	0.198	0.991	613 (613)
14	Brasileirão Serie A	1X2	Quant Wizard	CatBoost	3.45%	0.199	0.993	610 (610)
15	Liga	1X2	Quant Wizard	CatBoost	3.30%	0.189	0.952	636 (636)
16	Serie A	1X2		Naive Bayes	3.29%	0.284	6.488	800 (801)
17	Primeira Liga	1X2	Quant Wizard	XGBoost	3.27%	0.179	0.908	951 (951)
18	Serie A	1X2	Quant Wizard	XGBoost	2.94%	0.210	1.062	482 (828)
19	Liga	1X2	Quant Wizard	CatBoost	2.94%	0.191	0.959	634 (634)
20	Primeira Liga	1X2	Quant Wizard	XGBoost	2.84%	0.180	0.933	388 (388)
21	Ligue 1	1X2	singinanarchist	Decision Trees	2.80%	0.216	1.035	685 (685)
22	MLS	1X2	Quant Wizard	XGBoost	2.67%	0.233	1.096	339 (684)
23	MLS	1X2	Quant Wizard	Naive Bayes	2.53%	0.329	1.979	1251 (1251)
24	Liga	1X2	Quant Wizard	TabPFN	2.41%	0.189	0.955	165 (165)
25	Premier League	1X2		Naive Bayes	2.27%	0.208	1.002	291 (291)

Only true predictions made before a future game are included (no back test). The models are sorted by ROI using Pinnacle™ odds at the time of prediction. To qualify for the leaderboard, a model should have at least 150 predictions.

Better ROI than betting on the favorite using Pinnacle™ closing odds.

Better ROI than betting on a home team win.

Worse ROI than both baselines.