Leaderboard

Best performing user generated models

#	Competition	Market	User	Algorithm	ROI	RPS	Log Loss	Predictions (possible)
1	Ligue 1	1X2		Naive Bayes	12.65%	0.566	4.570	215 (215)
2	Primeira Liga	1X2	Quant Wizard	XGBoost	10.50%	0.187	0.963	172 (172)
3	Liga	1X2	John W	XGBoost	9.87%	0.195	0.976	558 (558)
4	Serie A	1X2		Logistic regression	9.06%	0.187	0.974	425 (425)
5	Primeira Liga	1X2	Quant Wizard	XGBoost	8.58%	0.180	0.908	753 (753)
6	Primeira Liga	1X2	Quant Wizard	XGBoost	7.92%	0.180	0.907	753 (753)
7	Ligue 1	1X2		Decision Trees	7.69%	0.213	1.023	328 (328)
8	Primeira Liga	1X2	Quant Wizard	XGBoost	7.11%	0.180	0.909	735 (735)
9	Serie A	1X2		Logistic regression	7.07%	0.180	0.953	82 (82)
10	Brasileirão Serie A	1X2	Quant Wizard	CatBoost	6.09%	0.195	0.995	290 (290)
11	Ligue 1	1X2	John W	CatBoost	5.61%	0.216	1.013	241 (446)
12	Ligue 1	1X2	singinanarchist	Decision Trees	5.38%	0.216	1.032	473 (473)
13	Liga	1X2	Quant Wizard	CatBoost	4.89%	0.193	0.966	366 (366)
14	Ligue 1	1X2	Quant Wizard	Naive Bayes	4.73%	0.479	2.643	846 (846)
15	Liga	1X2	Quant Wizard	XGBoost	4.61%	0.194	0.979	892 (892)
16	Primeira Liga	1X2	Quant Wizard	XGBoost	4.19%	0.189	0.958	449 (449)
17	Brasileirão Serie A	1X2	Quant Wizard	CatBoost	4.13%	0.196	0.997	287 (287)
18	Liga	1X2	Quant Wizard	CatBoost	3.67%	0.190	0.955	366 (366)
19	Serie A	1X2	Quant Wizard	CatBoost	3.53%	0.179	0.939	365 (645)
20	Liga	1X2	Quant Wizard	CatBoost	3.21%	0.193	0.964	366 (366)
21	Primeira Liga	1X2	Quant Wizard	XGBoost	2.61%	0.190	0.951	305 (305)
22	Primeira Liga	1X2	Quant Wizard	XGBoost	2.49%	0.194	0.972	260 (260)
23	MLS	1X2	Quant Wizard	Naive Bayes	2.37%	0.330	1.980	904 (904)
24	Primeira Liga	1X2	Quant Wizard	XGBoost	2.30%	0.190	0.947	160 (160)
25	Primeira Liga	1X2	Quant Wizard	CatBoost	2.28%	0.181	0.926	530 (530)

Only true predictions made before a future game are included (no back test). The models are sorted by ROI using Pinnacle™ odds at the time of prediction. To qualify for the leaderboard, a model should have at least 50 predictions.

Better ROI than betting on the favorite using Pinnacle™ closing odds.

Better ROI than betting on a home team win.

Worse ROI than both baselines.