Leaderboard

Best performing user generated models

#	Competition	Market	User	Algorithm	ROI	RPS	Log Loss	Predictions (possible)
1	MLS	1X2	Quant Wizard	XGBoost	6.94%	0.230	1.098	490 (1003)
2	Liga	1X2	Quant Wizard	TabICL	6.44%	0.192	0.941	273 (273)
3	Liga	1X2	Quant Wizard	XGBoost	5.27%	0.199	0.988	1316 (1316)
4	MLS	1X2	Quant Wizard	XGBoost	5.06%	0.231	1.099	491 (1003)
5	Liga	1X2	Quant Wizard	CatBoost	4.97%	0.194	0.962	787 (787)
6	Liga	1X2	John W	XGBoost	4.86%	0.201	0.994	962 (962)
7	Liga	1X2	Quant Wizard	CatBoost	4.71%	0.192	0.955	789 (789)
8	Brasileirão Serie A	1X2	Quant Wizard	TabPFN	4.71%	0.198	0.987	327 (327)
9	Liga	1X2	Quant Wizard	TabPFN	4.66%	0.196	0.955	305 (305)
10	Ligue 1	1X2	singinanarchist	Decision Trees	4.51%	0.216	1.037	784 (784)
11	Serie A	1X2		Logistic regression	4.50%	0.193	0.982	828 (828)
12	Ligue 1	1X2	John W	CatBoost	4.25%	0.215	1.008	409 (757)
13	Liga	1X2	Quant Wizard	CatBoost	4.18%	0.194	0.961	787 (787)
14	Serie A	1X2	Quant Wizard	CatBoost	4.01%	0.188	0.952	610 (1048)
15	Liga	1X2		Random forest	3.58%	0.198	0.965	413 (413)
16	Ligue 1	1X2		Decision Trees	3.13%	0.212	1.027	639 (639)
17	Serie A	1X2		Naive Bayes	3.07%	0.284	6.560	922 (923)
18	Serie A	1X2	Quant Wizard	TabPFN	2.90%	0.196	0.967	309 (309)
19	MLS	1X2	Quant Wizard	TabPFN	2.50%	0.204	0.986	176 (368)
20	Primeira Liga	1X2	Quant Wizard	XGBoost	2.30%	0.180	0.915	1097 (1097)
21	Premier League	1X2		Naive Bayes	2.27%	0.208	1.002	291 (291)
22	Brasileirão Serie A	1X2	Quant Wizard	CatBoost	2.13%	0.198	0.994	810 (810)
23	Liga	1X2	Quant Wizard	TabPFN	2.09%	0.195	0.957	288 (288)
24	Liga	1X2	Quant Wizard	CatBoost	2.07%	0.192	0.959	1060 (1060)
25	Brasileirão Serie A	1X2	Quant Wizard	CatBoost	1.74%	0.203	1.004	934 (934)

Only true predictions made before a future game are included (no back test). The models are sorted by ROI using Pinnacle™ odds at the time of prediction. To qualify for the leaderboard, a model should have at least 150 predictions.

Better ROI than betting on the favorite using Pinnacle™ closing odds.

Better ROI than betting on a home team win.

Worse ROI than both baselines.