Leaderboard

Best performing user generated models

#	Competition	Market	User	Algorithm	ROI	RPS	Log Loss	Predictions (possible)
1	Liga	1X2	Quant Wizard	TabICL	7.52%	0.193	0.942	262 (262)
2	MLS	1X2	Quant Wizard	XGBoost	5.85%	0.231	1.097	473 (977)
3	Brasileirão Serie A	1X2	Quant Wizard	TabPFN	5.53%	0.197	0.983	315 (315)
4	Liga	1X2	Quant Wizard	CatBoost	5.31%	0.194	0.962	776 (776)
5	Liga	1X2	Quant Wizard	CatBoost	5.05%	0.192	0.955	778 (778)
6	Liga	1X2	Quant Wizard	XGBoost	4.75%	0.199	0.989	1305 (1305)
7	Ligue 1	1X2	John W	CatBoost	4.74%	0.216	1.007	405 (748)
8	Liga	1X2	Quant Wizard	TabPFN	4.70%	0.196	0.952	295 (295)
9	Liga	1X2	Quant Wizard	CatBoost	4.52%	0.194	0.961	776 (776)
10	Liga	1X2	John W	XGBoost	4.40%	0.201	0.994	951 (951)
11	Serie A	1X2		Logistic regression	4.30%	0.193	0.981	818 (818)
12	Ligue 1	1X2	singinanarchist	Decision Trees	3.97%	0.216	1.037	775 (775)
13	MLS	1X2	Quant Wizard	XGBoost	3.69%	0.232	1.098	475 (977)
14	Serie A	1X2	Quant Wizard	CatBoost	3.51%	0.188	0.950	603 (1038)
15	Liga	1X2		Random forest	3.23%	0.198	0.965	402 (402)
16	Serie A	1X2	Quant Wizard	TabPFN	3.05%	0.195	0.959	301 (301)
17	Liga	1X2	Quant Wizard	TabPFN	2.94%	0.196	0.957	277 (277)
18	Ligue 1	1X2		Decision Trees	2.79%	0.212	1.026	630 (630)
19	Liga	1X2	Quant Wizard	CatBoost	2.51%	0.192	0.958	1049 (1049)
20	Primeira Liga	1X2	Quant Wizard	XGBoost	2.44%	0.179	0.913	1088 (1088)
21	Serie A	1X2		Naive Bayes	2.27%	0.285	6.601	912 (913)
22	Premier League	1X2		Naive Bayes	2.27%	0.208	1.002	291 (291)
23	Brasileirão Serie A	1X2	Quant Wizard	CatBoost	2.22%	0.198	0.993	796 (796)
24	Brasileirão Serie A	1X2	Quant Wizard	CatBoost	1.76%	0.202	1.003	920 (920)
25	Brasileirão Serie A	1X2	Quant Wizard	CatBoost	1.46%	0.200	0.998	789 (789)

Only true predictions made before a future game are included (no back test). The models are sorted by ROI using Pinnacle™ odds at the time of prediction. To qualify for the leaderboard, a model should have at least 150 predictions.

Better ROI than betting on the favorite using Pinnacle™ closing odds.

Better ROI than betting on a home team win.

Worse ROI than both baselines.